Research in Sports Management and Movement Behavior

Scenario Planning Of Iran's Kabaddi Sports In The Horizon Of 1414

Authors

Majid Bahrami 1
Mina Mostahfezian 2
Mahnaz Marvi Esfahani 3

1 PhD Student in Sport Management, Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Najafabad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran.

2 Associate Professor in Sport Management, Sport Medicine Research Center, Najafabad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran

3 Assistant Professor in Sports Biomechanics Sport Medicine Research Center, Najafabad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran

Abstract
As a developing sport in Iran, kabaddi has seen a lot of progress, but at the same time, challenges may still affect its future, especially since there is limited understanding about its possible future and the ways in which there is a corresponding future to be traversed. In this study, a multi-stakeholder scenario planning was used to develop future scenarios of Iran's Kabaddi sports, using stakeholders' points of view on the trends and critical uncertainties that may shape the future of Kabaddi sports to create action-oriented strategies. The participants of the present study included 28 domestic and foreign beneficiaries of Iran's Kabaddi sports, who were selected based on targeted sampling. Data was collected through interviews and open questionnaires. Data analysis was done with the six-step model of combined scenario planning of Lipzig and Rollandberger. The findings and analysis of 29 main factors obtained led to the production of two key uncertainties and four scenarios with titles of champion, super league, active lifestyle and always loser. In order to develop Kabaddi sports in Iran, there should be a transformation in the structure of the process with the aim of institutionalizing Kabaddi sports in geographical dimensions with a professional and universal approach.

Keywords

future research
Foresight
Uncertainty
Scenario Planning
Kabaddi Sports
Oliver JJ, Parrett E. Managing future uncertainty: Reevaluating the role of scenario planning. Business Horizons. 2018; 61(2): 339-52. 10.1016/j.bushor.2017.11.013 [DOI:10.1016/j.bushor.2017.11.013]
Oliver JJ, Parrett E. Managing future uncertainty: Reevaluating the role of scenario planning. Business Horizons. 2018; 61(2): 339-52. 10.1016/j.bushor.2017.11.013 [DOI:10.1016/j.bushor.2017.11.013]
Mohebbi E, Shirazi B, Tajdin A. Future studies of aviation industry behavior based on demand and expansion capacity of passenger terminals scenarios using system dynamics. Future study Management. 2018; 29(112): 39-55. [In Persian]
Mohebbi E, Shirazi B, Tajdin A. Future studies of aviation industry behavior based on demand and expansion capacity of passenger terminals scenarios using system dynamics. Future study Management. 2018; 29(112): 39-55. [In Persian]
Frith D, Tapinos E. Opening the 'black box'of scenario planning through realist synthesis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2020; 151: 119801. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119801]
Frith D, Tapinos E. Opening the 'black box'of scenario planning through realist synthesis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2020; 151: 119801. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119801]
Shahvali Kohshouri J. Strategic Foresight on Development of Educational Sport in Iran [dissertation]. [Isfahan]: Mobarakeh Azad University; 2020. 201p. [In Persian]
Shahvali Kohshouri J. Strategic Foresight on Development of Educational Sport in Iran [dissertation]. [Isfahan]: Mobarakeh Azad University; 2020. 201p. [In Persian]
Cao Z, Li Y, Liu Y, Lu Y. Scenario analysis of high and steep cutting slopes protection in the loess hilly region: A case study of the Yangjuangou catchment in Yan'an, China. Catena. 2023; 220: 106638. [DOI:10.1016/j.catena.2022.106638]
Cao Z, Li Y, Liu Y, Lu Y. Scenario analysis of high and steep cutting slopes protection in the loess hilly region: A case study of the Yangjuangou catchment in Yan'an, China. Catena. 2023; 220: 106638. [DOI:10.1016/j.catena.2022.106638]
Varum CA, Melo C. Directions in scenario planning literature-A review of the past decades. Futures. 2010; 42(4): 355-69. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021 [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021]
Varum CA, Melo C. Directions in scenario planning literature-A review of the past decades. Futures. 2010; 42(4): 355-69. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021 [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021]
Gómez-García AR, Chica ML, García-Arroyo JA. Relationship between the territorial distribution of labor inspectors and work accident injuries: Clustering Ecuadorian provinces into four management scenarios. Safety science. 2023; 158: 105956. DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2022.105956 [DOI:10.1016/j.ssci.2022.105956]
Gómez-García AR, Chica ML, García-Arroyo JA. Relationship between the territorial distribution of labor inspectors and work accident injuries: Clustering Ecuadorian provinces into four management scenarios. Safety science. 2023; 158: 105956. DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2022.105956 [DOI:10.1016/j.ssci.2022.105956]
Cordova-Pozo K, Rouwette EA. Types of scenario planning and their effectiveness: A review of reviews. Futures. 2023; 103153. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2023.103153 [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2023.103153]
Cordova-Pozo K, Rouwette EA. Types of scenario planning and their effectiveness: A review of reviews. Futures. 2023; 103153. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2023.103153 [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2023.103153]
Elledge RCh, Alcorn RS. Treatment planning in palliative radiotherapy.In: Alcorn RS. Palliative Radiation Oncology. Elsevier:London; 2024. P. 65-74. DOI:10.1016/B978-0-323-87688-9.00017-9 [DOI:10.1016/B978-0-323-87688-9.00017-9]
Elledge RCh, Alcorn RS. Treatment planning in palliative radiotherapy.In: Alcorn RS. Palliative Radiation Oncology. Elsevier:London; 2024. P. 65-74. DOI:10.1016/B978-0-323-87688-9.00017-9 [DOI:10.1016/B978-0-323-87688-9.00017-9]
Ciottone GR, Alaska YA, Aldawas AD. Nuclear Detonation.In: Alaska YA, Aldawas AD. InCiottone's Disaster Medicine. Elsevier:London; 2024. p. 653-656. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-323-80932-0.00107-5 [DOI:10.1016/B978-0-323-80932-0.00107-5]
Ciottone GR, Alaska YA, Aldawas AD. Nuclear Detonation.In: Alaska YA, Aldawas AD. InCiottone's Disaster Medicine. Elsevier:London; 2024. p. 653-656. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-323-80932-0.00107-5 [DOI:10.1016/B978-0-323-80932-0.00107-5]
Bouhalleb A, Tapinos E. The impact of scenario planning on entrepreneurial orientation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2023; 187: 122191. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122191]
Bouhalleb A, Tapinos E. The impact of scenario planning on entrepreneurial orientation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2023; 187: 122191. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122191]
Chen R, Xu P, Yao H. Decarbonization of China's regional power grid by 2050 in the government development planning scenario. Environmental Impact Assessment Review. 2023; 101: 107129. DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2023.107129 [DOI:10.1016/j.eiar.2023.107129]
Chen R, Xu P, Yao H. Decarbonization of China's regional power grid by 2050 in the government development planning scenario. Environmental Impact Assessment Review. 2023; 101: 107129. DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2023.107129 [DOI:10.1016/j.eiar.2023.107129]
Amiri SS, Mueller M, Hoque S. Investigating the application of a commercial and residential energy consumption prediction model for urban Planning scenarios with Machine Learning and Shapley Additive explanation methods. Energy and Buildings. 2023; 287: 112965. DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2023.112965 [DOI:10.1016/j.enbuild.2023.112965]
Amiri SS, Mueller M, Hoque S. Investigating the application of a commercial and residential energy consumption prediction model for urban Planning scenarios with Machine Learning and Shapley Additive explanation methods. Energy and Buildings. 2023; 287: 112965. DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2023.112965 [DOI:10.1016/j.enbuild.2023.112965]
Giudici F, Castelletti A, Giuliani M, Maier HR. An active learning approach for identifying the smallest subset of informative scenarios for robust planning under deep uncertainty. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020; 127: 104681.[In Persian] DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104681 [DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104681]
Giudici F, Castelletti A, Giuliani M, Maier HR. An active learning approach for identifying the smallest subset of informative scenarios for robust planning under deep uncertainty. Environmental Modelling & Software. 2020; 127: 104681.[In Persian] DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104681 [DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104681]
Bavanpour J, Nikravan M, Yektayar M. Future studies of the key drivers of Iranian sports network governance in the horizon of 2035. Sport Management Journal. 2023; ready to publish. 10.22059/jsm.2023.354429.3111 [In Persian]
Bavanpour J, Nikravan M, Yektayar M. Future studies of the key drivers of Iranian sports network governance in the horizon of 2035. Sport Management Journal. 2023; ready to publish. 10.22059/jsm.2023.354429.3111 [In Persian]
Choori A, Razavi MH, Dousti M, Farzan F. Foresight in the Field of Horse Industry and Equestrian Sports with a Scenario Writing Approach. Sport Management Journal. 2023; 15(1): 73-52. 10.22059/jsm.2020.297652.2411 [In Persian]
Choori A, Razavi MH, Dousti M, Farzan F. Foresight in the Field of Horse Industry and Equestrian Sports with a Scenario Writing Approach. Sport Management Journal. 2023; 15(1): 73-52. 10.22059/jsm.2020.297652.2411 [In Persian]
Nazari R, Shahvali Kohshouri J. Strategic Scenarios of Health-Based Sport in Iran. Sport Management Journal. 2022; 14(1): 172-151. https://jsm.ut.ac.ir/article_87365.html?lang=en . [In Persian]
Nazari R, Shahvali Kohshouri J. Strategic Scenarios of Health-Based Sport in Iran. Sport Management Journal. 2022; 14(1): 172-151. https://jsm.ut.ac.ir/article_87365.html?lang=en . [In Persian]
Ghobadi Yeganeh A, Eydi H, Amiri F. Investigating the women presence's scenario of in Premier League football matches on the development of league's economics with the technique of dynamic systems. Sport Management and Development. 2022; ready to publish. 10.22124/jsmd.2021.17599.2404 [In Persian]
Ghobadi Yeganeh A, Eydi H, Amiri F. Investigating the women presence's scenario of in Premier League football matches on the development of league's economics with the technique of dynamic systems. Sport Management and Development. 2022; ready to publish. 10.22124/jsmd.2021.17599.2404 [In Persian]
Hamidpor H, Ferdosi MH, Nadri A, Smaeili M. Designing a Development Model for Iranian Sports Knowledge-Based Companies and Explaining Its Future Based on Scenario Writing in the Next Two Decades. Sport Management Journal. 2022; ready to publish. [DOI:10.22059/jsm.2022.340065.2916 [In Persian]]
Hamidpor H, Ferdosi MH, Nadri A, Smaeili M. Designing a Development Model for Iranian Sports Knowledge-Based Companies and Explaining Its Future Based on Scenario Writing in the Next Two Decades. Sport Management Journal. 2022; ready to publish. [DOI:10.22059/jsm.2022.340065.2916 [In Persian]]
Shahvali kohshouri J, Askari A, Nazari R, Naghsh A. Foresight in higher education: designing the strategic corridor of Iranian university sports with an interdisciplinary approach. Interdisciplinary Issues in Human Sciences. 2022; 3(55): 157-193. [DOI:10.22035/isih.2022.4544.4506 [In Persian]]
Shahvali kohshouri J, Askari A, Nazari R, Naghsh A. Foresight in higher education: designing the strategic corridor of Iranian university sports with an interdisciplinary approach. Interdisciplinary Issues in Human Sciences. 2022; 3(55): 157-193. [DOI:10.22035/isih.2022.4544.4506 [In Persian]]
Parsamehr M, Nouri MS, Mahtab N, Veisi K. Designing a Model for the Development of Iran's Sports Tourism Industry and Explaining its Future based on Scenario Writing in the Horizon of 1420. Sport Management Journal. 2023; 15(1): 330-313. [DOI:10.22059/jsm.2021.332897.2833 [In Persian]]
Parsamehr M, Nouri MS, Mahtab N, Veisi K. Designing a Model for the Development of Iran's Sports Tourism Industry and Explaining its Future based on Scenario Writing in the Horizon of 1420. Sport Management Journal. 2023; 15(1): 330-313. [DOI:10.22059/jsm.2021.332897.2833 [In Persian]]
Rasekh N, Sajjadi SN. Strategies for the development of women's sports in Iran based on the SPP model. Human Resource Management in Sports. 2015; 2(2): 93-103. [DOI:10.22044/shm.2015.606 [In Persian]]
Rasekh N, Sajjadi SN. Strategies for the development of women's sports in Iran based on the SPP model. Human Resource Management in Sports. 2015; 2(2): 93-103. [DOI:10.22044/shm.2015.606 [In Persian]]
Iran Liver Federation. Strategic plan. April 15, 2016; 2016. [In Persian]
Iran Liver Federation. Strategic plan. April 15, 2016; 2016. [In Persian]
Mohammadi S, Minoonejad H, Rajabi R. The Epidemiology Prospective Study of Sport Injuries in Iranian Women's Kabaddi Premier League. Studies in Sport Medicine. 2020; 11(26): 109-126. [DOI:10.22089/smj.2020.3614.1198 [In Persian]]
Mohammadi S, Minoonejad H, Rajabi R. The Epidemiology Prospective Study of Sport Injuries in Iranian Women's Kabaddi Premier League. Studies in Sport Medicine. 2020; 11(26): 109-126. [DOI:10.22089/smj.2020.3614.1198 [In Persian]]
Latifi M. Factors affecting the popularization of liver exercise [dissertation]. [Qazvin]: Allameh Qazvini Institute of Higher Education; 2020. 113p. [In Persian]
Latifi M. Factors affecting the popularization of liver exercise [dissertation]. [Qazvin]: Allameh Qazvini Institute of Higher Education; 2020. 113p. [In Persian]
Mahboob N. Investigation and comparison of some anthropometric and physiological characteristics of professional, semi-professional and amateur liver workers. [Dissertation]. [Mashhad]: Mashhad Ferdowsi University; 2012. 145p. [In Persian]
Mahboob N. Investigation and comparison of some anthropometric and physiological characteristics of professional, semi-professional and amateur liver workers. [Dissertation]. [Mashhad]: Mashhad Ferdowsi University; 2012. 145p. [In Persian]
Krys C. Scenario-based strategic planning: Developing strategies in an uncertain world. Schwenker B, Wulf T, editors. Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden; 2013.
Krys C. Scenario-based strategic planning: Developing strategies in an uncertain world. Schwenker B, Wulf T, editors. Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden; 2013.
Zare Mirkabad A. Presenting a method for creating a scenario based on perspectives (A Case Study of Iran's aviation Industry In the horizon of 2036). [Dissertation]. [Tehran]: University of Tehran; 2015. 237p [In Persian]
Zare Mirkabad A. Presenting a method for creating a scenario based on perspectives (A Case Study of Iran's aviation Industry In the horizon of 2036). [Dissertation]. [Tehran]: University of Tehran; 2015. 237p [In Persian]
Long T, Johnson M. Rigour, reliability and validity in qualitative research. Clinical effectiveness in nursing. 2000; 4(1): 30-7. [DOI:10.1054/cein.2000.0106]
Long T, Johnson M. Rigour, reliability and validity in qualitative research. Clinical effectiveness in nursing. 2000; 4(1): 30-7. [DOI:10.1054/cein.2000.0106]
Moorman C, Miner AS. Organizational improvisation and organizational memory. Academy of management Review. 1998; 23(4): 698-723. [DOI:10.2307/259058]
Moorman C, Miner AS. Organizational improvisation and organizational memory. Academy of management Review. 1998; 23(4): 698-723. [DOI:10.2307/259058]
Pitts B, Fielding LW, Miller LK. Industry segmentation theory and the sport industry: Developing a sport industry segment model. 1994; 19(2): 124-138.
Pitts B, Fielding LW, Miller LK. Industry segmentation theory and the sport industry: Developing a sport industry segment model. 1994; 19(2): 124-138.
Porter ME. Competitive strategy: Creating and sustaining superior performance. New York: The Free Press; 1985.
Porter ME. Competitive strategy: Creating and sustaining superior performance. New York: The Free Press; 1985.
Duan Y, Li P, Meng D, Bu T, Liu X, Popovic S, Matic RM. The effects of demographic trends on the high-quality development of the Chinese sports industry. Sustainability. 2022; 14(2): 1039. [DOI:10.3390/su14021039]
Duan Y, Li P, Meng D, Bu T, Liu X, Popovic S, Matic RM. The effects of demographic trends on the high-quality development of the Chinese sports industry. Sustainability. 2022; 14(2): 1039. [DOI:10.3390/su14021039]
Leyer M, Stumpf-Wollersheim J, Kronsbein D. Stains on the bright side of process-oriented organizational designs: an empirical investigation of advantages and disadvantages. Schmalenbach Business Review. 2017; 18: 29-47. DOI:10.1007/s41464-016-0020-9 [DOI:10.1007/s41464-016-0020-9]
Leyer M, Stumpf-Wollersheim J, Kronsbein D. Stains on the bright side of process-oriented organizational designs: an empirical investigation of advantages and disadvantages. Schmalenbach Business Review. 2017; 18: 29-47. DOI:10.1007/s41464-016-0020-9 [DOI:10.1007/s41464-016-0020-9]
Wang L, Liu M. Study on the Relationship of Process-Oriented Servitization Strategy, Hierarchical Network Structure and Innovation Performance. In 2022 5th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Big Data (ICAIBD); 2022. p. 611-616. [DOI:10.1109/ICAIBD55127.2022.9820225]
Wang L, Liu M. Study on the Relationship of Process-Oriented Servitization Strategy, Hierarchical Network Structure and Innovation Performance. In 2022 5th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Big Data (ICAIBD); 2022. p. 611-616. [DOI:10.1109/ICAIBD55127.2022.9820225]
Research in Sports Management and Movement Behavior
Volume 14, Issue 28 - Serial Number 44
December 2024
Pages 178-200