دوره 11، شماره 21 - ( 4-1400 )
جلد 11 شماره 21 صفحات 209-184 |
برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها
Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:
shahvali kohshouri J, Askari A, Nazari R, Naghsh A. Scenarios of Iranian Student Sports Development. JRSM 2021; 11 (21) :184-209
URL: http://jrsm.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2976-fa.html
URL: http://jrsm.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2976-fa.html
شهولی کوه شوری جواد، عسکری احمید رضا، نظری رسول، نقش امیر رضا. سناریوهای توسعۀ ورزش دانشآموزی ایران. پژوهش در مدیریت ورزشی و رفتار حرکتی. 1400; 11 (21) :184-209
1- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد مبارکه
2- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد مبارکه ،ahmadreza.askari@mau.ac.ir
3- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)
2- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد مبارکه ،
3- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)
چکیده: (5397 مشاهده)
ارتقاء فعالیت جسمانی مبتنی بر مدرسه، باعث گسترش فرهنگ ورزش در طول عمر و گسترش مؤلفه های سلامت ذهنی و جسمی دانش آموزان میگردد. از این رو هدف پژوهش حاضر کشف آینده های پیشروی ورزش دانشآموزی ایران و تدوین سناریوهای آن برای 15 سال آینده و ارائه استراتژی است. در این پژوهش روش آینده نگاری با رویکرد سناریونگاری بر اساس روش منطق شهودی به کار گرفته شده است و برای طراحی سناریوها از روش تحلیل روندها و عدم قطعیت ها و الگوی شش مرحله ای سناریونگاری تلفیقی استفاده گردید. مشارکت کنندگان پژوهش حاضر شامل 38 نفر از ذینفعان داخلی و خارجی ورزش دانش آموزی ایران بودند که بر اساس نمونه گیری هدفمند انتخاب شدند. گردآوری دادهها با مصاحبه و پرسشنامه های باز صورت گرفت. بر اساس یافته ها، تحلیل 30 عامل اصلی بدست آمده در نهایت منجر به تولید دو عدم قطعیت کلیدی "برنامه ریزی منطقه ای و فراوانی منابع" و "قانون گذاری تطبیقی بر اصل تفاوت فرهنگی" شد که پایه و اساس چهار سناریوی اصلی ورزش دانش آموزی گردیدند. در نتیجه پیشنهاد می گردد به منظور توسعۀ ورزش دانش آموزی ایران، برنامه ریزی جامع بر اساس مسائل زیست بوم محلی برای هر منطقه صورت بگیرد.
نوع مطالعه: پژوهشي |
موضوع مقاله:
مدیریت ورزشی
دریافت: 1399/1/16 | پذیرش: 1399/5/19 | انتشار الکترونیک پیش از انتشار نهایی: 1399/10/9 | انتشار: 1400/4/10
دریافت: 1399/1/16 | پذیرش: 1399/5/19 | انتشار الکترونیک پیش از انتشار نهایی: 1399/10/9 | انتشار: 1400/4/10
فهرست منابع
1. Rezaei M. Teachers Professional Competences: Past Present Future. QJE. 2019; 138: 129-150. (In Persian).
2. Mohamadi F. Bourdieu's perspective on the field of education: Beyond the perspectives of conflict and functionalism. FE. 2019; 9(1): 5-25. (In Persian).
3. Romani S, Haji Hosein Nejad GH, Hoseini Khah A, Fazeli N. Identifying and Analyzing the Culture of Elementary Teachers in Lorestan Province: An Ethnographic Approach. QJE. 2019; 137: 73-92. (In Persian).
4. Karim Zadeh B, Yari Dehnavi M, Baghrti Nov Parast KH. Alavi HR. Derrida's philosophy of writing and its implications for education. FE. 2019; 9(1): 130-149. (In Persian).
5. Mosavi NS, Sharifeyan M, Ghaed Amini GHR, Goldoz S, Darvishi A, Ghamar Zad F. Survey of environmental knowledge, attitude and skill level of preschool teachers in Tehran. QJE. 2019; 137: 111-128. (In Persian).
6. Azad Manesh S, Baghri Nov Parast KH, Sefid Khosh M, Sajadeye N. Education as 'Bildong' in Hegel's Phenomenology. FE. 2019; 9(1): 26-47. (In Persian).
7. Mir Ahmadi KH, Khorasani A, Abolghasemi M, Mehri D. Professional Learning Communities (PLC): An Effective Strategy to Improve Teachers' Self-Efficacy. JTLR. 2019; 16(1): 1-14. (In Persian).
8. Ghasemi Roshanavand J, Bahrol Olom H, Andam R. Prioritizing the Barriers to Extracurricular Participation in Sport Education Using Interpretive Structural Modeling. Bagheri H. QJEI. 2019; 72: 73-90. (In Persian).
9. Karimi J, Abbasi H, Eydi H. Sociological explanation of the social consequences of participation in sport based on data theory. RES. 2019; 7(16): 17-44. DOI: 10.22089/res.2018.6136.1500 (In Persian).
10. Cavallin S, Bennie A, George E. Exploring the barriers and facilitators to school and club sport participation for adolescent girls in Greater Western Sydney. JSMS. 2019; 22: 75-115. [DOI:10.1016/j.jsams.2019.08.084]
11. Malm Ch, Jakobsson J, Isaksson A. Physical Activity and Sports-Real Health Benefits: A Review with Insight into the Public Health of Sweden. S(B). 2019; 7(5): 127-143. [DOI:10.3390/sports7050127]
12. Acciai F, Yedidia MJ, DeWeese RS, Martinelli S, Vachaspati PO. School Food and Physical Activity Environment: A Longitudinal Analysis of Four School Districts in New Jersey. JAH. 2019; 65(2): 216-223. [DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2019.01.006]
13. Zhe W. The Current Situation of Students' Participatation in Extracurricular Sports Activities of Private Middle School in Henan Province and the Analysis of Investigation. Psics P. 2019; 33: 2015-2019. [DOI:10.1016/j.phpro.2012.05.317]
14. van de Kop JH, van Kernebeek WG, Otten RHG, Toussaint HM, Verhoeff AP. School-Based Physical Activity Interventions in Prevocational Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses. JAH. 2019; 65 185-194. [DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2019.02.022]
15. Karhus S. Pedagogization of Elite Sport in the School System: Vested Interests and Dominant Discourses. SES. 2019; 24(1): 13-24. [DOI:10.1080/13573322.2017.1292233]
16. Mottaghi shahri MH, Ghafouri F, Honari H, Shahlaee J. Designing the mental health pattern of athletes participating in educational sport. QJE. 2019; 7(16): 17-38. (In Persian).
17. Jones G, Edwards MB, Bocarro JN, Svensson PG, Misener K. A community capacity building approach to sport-based youth development. SMR. 2019; 17: 132-145. [DOI:10.1016/j.smr.2019.09.001]
18. Dore I, Sabiston C, Sylvestre MP, Brunet J, O'Loughlin J, Abi Nader P, Gallant F, Belanger M. Years Participating in Sports During Childhood Predicts Mental Health in Adolescence: A 5-Year Longitudinal Study. JAH. 2019; 64: 790-796. [DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2018.11.024]
19. Senturk HE. The Factors Affecting Faculty of Sport Sciences Students' Attitudes towards Sports. Universal JER. 2019; 7(1): 272-277. [DOI:10.13189/ujer.2019.070135]
20. Ghasemi H, Asgar shamsi M. Content Analysis of Physical Education and Student Sport Research in Iran. QJE. 2019; 7(6):61-84. (In Persian).
21. Loghmani M, Gholi Dehaneh M, Hassan Nejad M. The Effect of Physical Educator's Teaching Styles on Student's Goal Orientation. RES. 2018; 6(15): 53-72. (In Persian).
22. Pile Var E, Hamidi M, Honari H, Khabiri M. Designing and Explaining the Volunteer Model in Iranian Student Sport. JHRM in S. 2018; 6(2): 179-194. (In Persian).
23. Hamidi M, Vahdani M, Khabiri M, Alidost Ghahfarokhi E. Developing training strategies and sports activities of the Ministry of Educatio. QJFR. 2017; 1(14): 33-50. (In Persian).
24. Shariati H, Tayebi Sani S, Fahimi Nezhad A, Kazemnejad A. Developing a Sports Strategic Plan for Girls Students of High Schools in Golestan Province. JHRM in S. 2019; 6(2): 315-331. (In Persian).
25. Mousavian A, Mehdipour A, Khoda Moradi M. A Model of Strategic Thinking to Developing Performance of Sports Managers (Case Study: Sport Federations of Islamic Republic of Iran). SSYS. 2019; 18(43): 165-186. (In Persian).
26. Hamidi M, Rajabi H, Alidost Ghahfarokhi E, Zeyni Zadeh M. Designing and Developing the Strategic Plan of the Iranian Student Sport Federation. RES. 2018; 6(14): 67-92. (In Persian).
27. Seibert TS, Allen DB, Eickhoff J, Carrel AL. CDC childhood physical activity strategies fail to show sustained fitness impact in middle school children. PMR. 2018; 12: 60-65. [DOI:10.1016/j.pmedr.2018.08.007]
28. Nazari R. Developing Strategic Themes of Isfahan Inter-School Sport Olympiads. RES. 2017; 5(13): 231-248. (In Persian).
29. Ontario Federation of School. Ontario Federation of School Athletic Associations Strategic Plan. (2014-2017) (n.d.). 2014; Retrieved from: www.ofsaa.on.ca/sites/default/files/PDFs/strategicplan،2014-17.
30. Abbasi Bakhtiari R, Farahani A, Keshavarz L. Develop a strategic plan with the sport and the championship Islamic Azad University SWOT-ANP. RSM. 2019; 8(1): 139-153. (In Persian).
31. Zali N, PourSohrab A. Regional Development Foresight with Emphasis on Combined Scenario Making and SWOT Analytical Model Approach Case Study: Gilan Province. SPP. 2017; 21(3): 189-220. (In Persian).
32. Gong Z, Wang H, Guo W, Gong Z, Wei G. Measuring trust in social networks based on linear uncertainty theory. IS. 2020; 508: 154-172. [DOI:10.1016/j.ins.2019.08.055]
33. Erkoyuncu JA, Roy RK, Shehab E, Durugbo CH, Khan S. An effective uncertainty-based framework for sustainable industrial product-service system transformation. JCP. 2019; 208: 160-177. [DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.09.182]
34. Oliver JJ, Parrett E. Managing future uncertainty: Reevaluating the role of scenario planning. BH. 2017; 61(2): 339-352. [DOI:10.1016/j.bushor.2017.11.013]
35. Strengers Y, Pink S, Nicholls L. Smart energy futures and social practice imaginaries: Forecasting scenarios for pet care in Australian homes. ER & SS. 2019; 48: 108-115. [DOI:10.1016/j.erss.2018.09.015]
36. Witt Y, Dumeier M, Geldermann J. Combining scenario planning, energy system analysis, and multi-criteria analysis to develop and evaluate energy scenarios. JCP. 2020; 242: 155-170. [DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118414]
37. Ramirez R, Bhatti Y, Tapinos E. xploring how experience and learning curves decrease the time invested in scenario planning interventions. TFSC. 2020; 151, 214-229. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119785]
38. Burt G, KarathNair A. Rigidities of imagination in scenario planning: Strategic foresight through 'Unlearning'. TFSC. 2020; 153: 552-567. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2020.119927]
39. Lou Y, Mou Y, Wang Zh, Su Z, Qin Y. Scenario-based planning for a dynamic tourism system with carbon footprint analysis: A case study of Xin Gwen Global Geopark, China. JCP. 2020; 254: 292-307. [DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.119999]
40. Sante I, Tubio JM, miranda D. Public participation in defining landscape planning scenarios and landscape quality objectives (LQO): Landscape Guidelines for Galicia (NW Spain) case study. LUP. 2020; 94: 65-83. [DOI:10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104559]
41. Shen J, Copertaro B, Sangelantoni L, Zhang X, Suo H. An early-stage analysis of climate-adaptive designs for multi-family buildings under future climate scenario: Case studies in Rome, Italy and Stockholm, Sweden. JBE. 2020; 27: 314-329. [DOI:10.1016/j.jobe.2019.100972]
42. Seyed Ameri H, Elahi A, Afshari M, Honari H. Developing Role of Postmodern Management on Sport Development Model. SMS. 2016; 8(37): 17-34. (In Persian).
43. Shahvali kohshouri J, Askari A, Nazari R, Naghsh A. The Formulation Iranian Educational Sports Strategies: Scenario-based. RES. 2020; In press. DOI: 10.22089/res.2020.8611.1834 (In Persian).
44. Keshavarz L, Farahani A, Mohammad Khani J. Analysis of factors affecting the behavior of Iranian championship sports managers by scenario planning approach. OBMSS. 2018; 5(17): 099-108. (In Persian).
45. Abdol Maleki H, Heydari F, Alahyari M, Zaki Zadeh B. The Future of Sport Management Research in Iranian Universities. SMD. 2018; 7(4): 56-68. (In Persian).
46. Adib Roshan F, Talebpour M, Peymanizad H. Drawing the scenario of elite sports of Khorasan Razavi province in 1404 horizon. SMD. 2016; 6(3): 168-186. (In Persian).
47. Schwenker B, Wulf T. Scenario-based Strategic Planning- Developing Strategies in an Uncertain World. Roland Berger School of Strategy and Economics. 2013; Springer Gabler, eBook: www.springer.com/gp/book/9783658028749. [DOI:10.1007/978-3-658-02875-6]
48. Schwartz p. The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain WorldL: by Amazon. 2013; Published April 15th 2013 by Currency (first published 1991).
49. Saritas O, Smith JE. The big picture-trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals. Futures. 2011; 43(3), 292-312. [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.007]
50. Cornelius P, Van de Puttr A, Romani M. There Decades of Scenario Planning in Shell.CMR. 2005; 48(1): 92-109. [DOI:10.2307/41166329]
51. Shell Oil Organization. Scenarios: An Explorer Guide. 2003; London: Shell.
52. United Nations Inter-Agency Task Force on Sport for Development and Peace. Sport for Development and Peace towards Achieving the Millennium Development Goals.2002.
53. Hasan GH. An overview of indigenous and bio-ecological culture in Mazandaran province (according to Grid-Group model cultural theory). Biquarterly JSSI. 2016; 3(7): 181-203. (In Persian).
ارسال پیام به نویسنده مسئول
| بازنشر اطلاعات | |
 | این مقاله تحت شرایط Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License قابل بازنشر است. |
