دوره 11، شماره 21 - ( 4-1400 )                   جلد 11 شماره 21 صفحات 209-184 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها


XML English Abstract Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

shahvali kohshouri J, Askari A, Nazari R, Naghsh A. Scenarios of Iranian Student Sports Development. JRSM 2021; 11 (21) :184-209
URL: http://jrsm.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2976-fa.html
شهولی کوه شوری جواد، عسکری احمید رضا، نظری رسول، نقش امیر رضا. سناریوهای توسعۀ ورزش دانش‌آموزی ایران. پژوهش در مدیریت ورزشی و رفتار حرکتی. 1400; 11 (21) :184-209

URL: http://jrsm.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2976-fa.html


1- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد مبارکه
2- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد مبارکه ، ahmadreza.askari@mau.ac.ir
3- دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)
چکیده:   (5188 مشاهده)
ارتقاء فعالیت جسمانی مبتنی بر مدرسه، باعث گسترش فرهنگ ورزش در طول عمر و گسترش مؤلفه ­های سلامت ذهنی و جسمی دانش‏ آموزان می­گردد. از این رو هدف پژوهش حاضر کشف آینده ­های پیش­روی ورزش دانش­آموزی ایران و تدوین سناریوهای آن برای 15 سال آینده و ارائه استراتژی است. در این پژوهش روش آینده­ نگاری با رویکرد سناریونگاری بر اساس روش منطق شهودی به کار گرفته ­­شده است و برای طراحی سناریوها از روش تحلیل روندها و عدم قطعیت­ ها و الگوی شش مرحله­ ای سناریونگاری تلفیقی استفاده گردید. مشارکت­ کنندگان پژوهش حاضر شامل 38 نفر از ذینفعان داخلی و خارجی ورزش دانش ­آموزی ایران بودند که بر اساس نمونه ­گیری هدفمند انتخاب شدند. گردآوری دادهها با مصاحبه و پرسش­نامه­ های باز صورت گرفت. بر اساس یافته‏ ها، تحلیل 30 عامل اصلی بدست آمده در نهایت منجر به تولید دو عدم­ قطعیت کلیدی "برنامه ‏ریزی منطقه­ ای و فراوانی منابع" و "قانون گذاری تطبیقی بر اصل تفاوت فرهنگی" شد که پایه و اساس چهار سناریوی اصلی ورزش دانش­ آموزی گردیدند. در نتیجه پیشنهاد می­ گردد به ­منظور توسعۀ ورزش دانش‏ آموزی ایران، برنامه ­ریزی جامع بر اساس مسائل زیست ­بوم محلی برای هر منطقه صورت بگیرد.
متن کامل [PDF 1546 kb]   (1528 دریافت)    
نوع مطالعه: پژوهشي | موضوع مقاله: مدیریت ورزشی
دریافت: 1399/1/16 | پذیرش: 1399/5/19 | انتشار الکترونیک پیش از انتشار نهایی: 1399/10/9 | انتشار: 1400/4/10

فهرست منابع
1. Rezaei M. Teachers Professional Competences: Past Present Future. QJE. 2019; 138: 129-150. (In Persian).
2. Mohamadi F. Bourdieu's perspective on the field of education: Beyond the perspectives of conflict and functionalism. FE. 2019; 9(1): 5-25. (In Persian).
3. Romani S, Haji Hosein Nejad GH, Hoseini Khah A, Fazeli N. Identifying and Analyzing the Culture of Elementary Teachers in Lorestan Province: An Ethnographic Approach. QJE. 2019; 137: 73-92. (In Persian).
4. Karim Zadeh B, Yari Dehnavi M, Baghrti Nov Parast KH. Alavi HR. Derrida's philosophy of writing and its implications for education. FE. 2019; 9(1): 130-149. (In Persian).
5. Mosavi NS, Sharifeyan M, Ghaed Amini GHR, Goldoz S, Darvishi A, Ghamar Zad F. Survey of environmental knowledge, attitude and skill level of preschool teachers in Tehran. QJE. 2019; 137: 111-128. (In Persian).
6. Azad Manesh S, Baghri Nov Parast KH, Sefid Khosh M, Sajadeye N. Education as 'Bildong' in Hegel's Phenomenology. FE. 2019; 9(1): 26-47. (In Persian).
7. Mir Ahmadi KH, Khorasani A, Abolghasemi M, Mehri D. Professional Learning Communities (PLC): An Effective Strategy to Improve Teachers' Self-Efficacy. JTLR. 2019; 16(1): 1-14. (In Persian).
8. Ghasemi Roshanavand J, Bahrol Olom H, Andam R. Prioritizing the Barriers to Extracurricular Participation in Sport Education Using Interpretive Structural Modeling. Bagheri H. QJEI. 2019; 72: 73-90. (In Persian).
9. Karimi J, Abbasi H, Eydi H. Sociological explanation of the social consequences of participation in sport based on data theory. RES. 2019; 7(16): 17-44. DOI: 10.22089/res.2018.6136.1500 (In Persian).
10. Cavallin S, Bennie A, George E. Exploring the barriers and facilitators to school and club sport participation for adolescent girls in Greater Western Sydney. JSMS. 2019; 22: 75-115. [DOI:10.1016/j.jsams.2019.08.084]
11. Malm Ch, Jakobsson J, Isaksson A. Physical Activity and Sports-Real Health Benefits: A Review with Insight into the Public Health of Sweden. S(B). 2019; 7(5): 127-143. [DOI:10.3390/sports7050127]
12. Acciai F, Yedidia MJ, DeWeese RS, Martinelli S, Vachaspati PO. School Food and Physical Activity Environment: A Longitudinal Analysis of Four School Districts in New Jersey. JAH. 2019; 65(2): 216-223. [DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2019.01.006]
13. Zhe W. The Current Situation of Students' Participatation in Extracurricular Sports Activities of Private Middle School in Henan Province and the Analysis of Investigation. Psics P. 2019; 33: 2015-2019. [DOI:10.1016/j.phpro.2012.05.317]
14. van de Kop JH, van Kernebeek WG, Otten RHG, Toussaint HM, Verhoeff AP. School-Based Physical Activity Interventions in Prevocational Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses. JAH. 2019; 65 185-194. [DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2019.02.022]
15. Karhus S. Pedagogization of Elite Sport in the School System: Vested Interests and Dominant Discourses. SES. 2019; 24(1): 13-24. [DOI:10.1080/13573322.2017.1292233]
16. Mottaghi shahri MH, Ghafouri F, Honari H, Shahlaee J. Designing the mental health pattern of athletes participating in educational sport. QJE. 2019; 7(16): 17-38. (In Persian).
17. Jones G, Edwards MB, Bocarro JN, Svensson PG, Misener K. A community capacity building approach to sport-based youth development. SMR. 2019; 17: 132-145. [DOI:10.1016/j.smr.2019.09.001]
18. Dore I, Sabiston C, Sylvestre MP, Brunet J, O'Loughlin J, Abi Nader P, Gallant F, Belanger M. Years Participating in Sports During Childhood Predicts Mental Health in Adolescence: A 5-Year Longitudinal Study. JAH. 2019; 64: 790-796. [DOI:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2018.11.024]
19. Senturk HE. The Factors Affecting Faculty of Sport Sciences Students' Attitudes towards Sports. Universal JER. 2019; 7(1): 272-277. [DOI:10.13189/ujer.2019.070135]
20. Ghasemi H, Asgar shamsi M. Content Analysis of Physical Education and Student Sport Research in Iran. QJE. 2019; 7(6):61-84. (In Persian).
21. Loghmani M, Gholi Dehaneh M, Hassan Nejad M. The Effect of Physical Educator's Teaching Styles on Student's Goal Orientation. RES. 2018; 6(15): 53-72. (In Persian).
22. Pile Var E, Hamidi M, Honari H, Khabiri M. Designing and Explaining the Volunteer Model in Iranian Student Sport. JHRM in S. 2018; 6(2): 179-194. (In Persian).
23. Hamidi M, Vahdani M, Khabiri M, Alidost Ghahfarokhi E. Developing training strategies and sports activities of the Ministry of Educatio. QJFR. 2017; 1(14): 33-50. (In Persian).
24. Shariati H, Tayebi Sani S, Fahimi Nezhad A, Kazemnejad A. Developing a Sports Strategic Plan for Girls Students of High Schools in Golestan Province. JHRM in S. 2019; 6(2): 315-331. (In Persian).
25. Mousavian A, Mehdipour A, Khoda Moradi M. A Model of Strategic Thinking to Developing Performance of Sports Managers (Case Study: Sport Federations of Islamic Republic of Iran). SSYS. 2019; 18(43): 165-186. (In Persian).
26. Hamidi M, Rajabi H, Alidost Ghahfarokhi E, Zeyni Zadeh M. Designing and Developing the Strategic Plan of the Iranian Student Sport Federation. RES. 2018; 6(14): 67-92. (In Persian).
27. Seibert TS, Allen DB, Eickhoff J, Carrel AL. CDC childhood physical activity strategies fail to show sustained fitness impact in middle school children. PMR. 2018; 12: 60-65. [DOI:10.1016/j.pmedr.2018.08.007]
28. Nazari R. Developing Strategic Themes of Isfahan Inter-School Sport Olympiads. RES. 2017; 5(13): 231-248. (In Persian).
29. Ontario Federation of School. Ontario Federation of School Athletic Associations Strategic Plan. (2014-2017) (n.d.). 2014; Retrieved from: www.ofsaa.on.ca/sites/default/files/PDFs/strategicplan،2014-17.
30. Abbasi Bakhtiari R, Farahani A, Keshavarz L. Develop a strategic plan with the sport and the championship Islamic Azad University SWOT-ANP. RSM. 2019; 8(1): 139-153. (In Persian).
31. Zali N, PourSohrab A. Regional Development Foresight with Emphasis on Combined Scenario Making and SWOT Analytical Model Approach Case Study: Gilan Province. SPP. 2017; 21(3): 189-220. (In Persian).
32. Gong Z, Wang H, Guo W, Gong Z, Wei G. Measuring trust in social networks based on linear uncertainty theory. IS. 2020; 508: 154-172. [DOI:10.1016/j.ins.2019.08.055]
33. Erkoyuncu JA, Roy RK, Shehab E, Durugbo CH, Khan S. An effective uncertainty-based framework for sustainable industrial product-service system transformation. JCP. 2019; 208: 160-177. [DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.09.182]
34. Oliver JJ, Parrett E. Managing future uncertainty: Reevaluating the role of scenario planning. BH. 2017; 61(2): 339-352. [DOI:10.1016/j.bushor.2017.11.013]
35. Strengers Y, Pink S, Nicholls L. Smart energy futures and social practice imaginaries: Forecasting scenarios for pet care in Australian homes. ER & SS. 2019; 48: 108-115. [DOI:10.1016/j.erss.2018.09.015]
36. Witt Y, Dumeier M, Geldermann J. Combining scenario planning, energy system analysis, and multi-criteria analysis to develop and evaluate energy scenarios. JCP. 2020; 242: 155-170. [DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118414]
37. Ramirez R, Bhatti Y, Tapinos E. xploring how experience and learning curves decrease the time invested in scenario planning interventions. TFSC. 2020; 151, 214-229. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119785]
38. Burt G, KarathNair A. Rigidities of imagination in scenario planning: Strategic foresight through 'Unlearning'. TFSC. 2020; 153: 552-567. [DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2020.119927]
39. Lou Y, Mou Y, Wang Zh, Su Z, Qin Y. Scenario-based planning for a dynamic tourism system with carbon footprint analysis: A case study of Xin Gwen Global Geopark, China. JCP. 2020; 254: 292-307. [DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.119999]
40. Sante I, Tubio JM, miranda D. Public participation in defining landscape planning scenarios and landscape quality objectives (LQO): Landscape Guidelines for Galicia (NW Spain) case study. LUP. 2020; 94: 65-83. [DOI:10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104559]
41. Shen J, Copertaro B, Sangelantoni L, Zhang X, Suo H. An early-stage analysis of climate-adaptive designs for multi-family buildings under future climate scenario: Case studies in Rome, Italy and Stockholm, Sweden. JBE. 2020; 27: 314-329. [DOI:10.1016/j.jobe.2019.100972]
42. Seyed Ameri H, Elahi A, Afshari M, Honari H. Developing Role of Postmodern Management on Sport Development Model. SMS. 2016; 8(37): 17-34. (In Persian).
43. Shahvali kohshouri J, Askari A, Nazari R, Naghsh A. The Formulation Iranian Educational Sports Strategies: Scenario-based. RES. 2020; In press. DOI: 10.22089/res.2020.8611.1834 (In Persian).
44. Keshavarz L, Farahani A, Mohammad Khani J. Analysis of factors affecting the behavior of Iranian championship sports managers by scenario planning approach. OBMSS. 2018; 5(17): 099-108. (In Persian).
45. Abdol Maleki H, Heydari F, Alahyari M, Zaki Zadeh B. The Future of Sport Management Research in Iranian Universities. SMD. 2018; 7(4): 56-68. (In Persian).
46. Adib Roshan F, Talebpour M, Peymanizad H. Drawing the scenario of elite sports of Khorasan Razavi province in 1404 horizon. SMD. 2016; 6(3): 168-186. (In Persian).
47. Schwenker B, Wulf T. Scenario-based Strategic Planning- Developing Strategies in an Uncertain World. Roland Berger School of Strategy and Economics. 2013; Springer Gabler, eBook: www.springer.com/gp/book/9783658028749. [DOI:10.1007/978-3-658-02875-6]
48. Schwartz p. The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain WorldL: by Amazon. 2013; Published April 15th 2013 by Currency (first published 1991).
49. Saritas O, Smith JE. The big picture-trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals. Futures. 2011; 43(3), 292-312. [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.007]
50. Cornelius P, Van de Puttr A, Romani M. There Decades of Scenario Planning in Shell.CMR. 2005; 48(1): 92-109. [DOI:10.2307/41166329]
51. Shell Oil Organization. Scenarios: An Explorer Guide. 2003; London: Shell.
52. United Nations Inter-Agency Task Force on Sport for Development and Peace. Sport for Development and Peace towards Achieving the Millennium Development Goals.2002.
53. Hasan GH. An overview of indigenous and bio-ecological culture in Mazandaran province (according to Grid-Group model cultural theory). Biquarterly JSSI. 2016; 3(7): 181-203. (In Persian).

ارسال نظر درباره این مقاله : نام کاربری یا پست الکترونیک شما:
CAPTCHA

ارسال پیام به نویسنده مسئول


بازنشر اطلاعات
Creative Commons License این مقاله تحت شرایط Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License قابل بازنشر است.

کلیه حقوق این وب سایت متعلق به پژوهش در مدیریت ورزشی و رفتار حرکتی می باشد.

طراحی و برنامه نویسی : یکتاوب افزار شرق

© 2024 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Research in Sport Management and Motor Behavior

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb